Munich Re research programme: conference presentations in 2011
Below is a list of workshops/conference presentations related to the Munich Re research programme, held in 2011.
Previous presentations can also be accessed:
Talk on climate change and the insurance industry: Swenja Surminski, European Association of Mutual Insurers AMICE's seminar 'Tomorrow's emerging risks', Copenhagen, 22 September.
Scientific Support for Climate Policy: is a VVUQ analysis of today's models helpful? And where not: what then?: Leonard Smith, ICIS workshop, 'Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification Across Disciplines', Park City, Utah, 6-13 August.
Insight or Numbers? Distinguishing climate science from climate modelling: Leonard Smith at the SPS side event, 'Climate Science and Climate Change: epistemological and methodological issues', part of the 14th Congress of Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science, Nancy, 19-26 July.
Small-Number Statistics, Common Sense and Profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting: Alex Jarman, Department of Statistics' PhD Presentation Event, 23 June.
Extracting Insight from Predictions of the Irrelevant: can the diversity in our models inform our uncertainty of the future?: Leonard Smith at the special session, 'Can our models only predict the irrelevant?', in memory of Professor Tarantola, at the 28th International Conference on Mathematical Geophysics Modelling Earth Dynamics: Complexity, Uncertainty and Validation, in Pisa, Italy, 5-9 June.
Ambiguity and Climate Policy: Antony Millner, Simon Dietz and Geoffrey Heal presented work based on their paper at several important international conferences, including the inaugural conference of the American Association of Environmental and Resource Economists in Seattle in June, and the 18th annual conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists in Rome, also in June.
Nowcasting Via Gradient Descent: moving from theory towards reality: Hailiang Du, Predictability + School on Data Assimilation, held at NORDITA, Stockholm, 25-27 May.
Things They Didn't Tell You Last Week: DA in maths, physics, and decision support: Leonard Smith, Predictability + School on Data Assimilation, held at NORDITA, Stockholm, 25-27 May.
What (and Who) Do Ensembles of Climate Models Inform: Leonard Smith, invited talk at Climate Challenges in Climate Modelling at the University of Uppsala, 26 May.
Small-Number Statistics, Common Sense and Profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting (PDF, 206KB): A Jarman and L Smith, presented at LSE, 26 May.
Insight or Numerical Engineering? The role of simulation modeling in quantitative decision support: Leonard Smith at the Epistemology of Modeling and Simulation Conference, University of Pittsburgh, 3 April.
Modelling Insurance Markets: value of seasonal weather forecasts: Trevor Maynard, seminar at the Cass Business School, London, 23 March.
Insuring the Uninsurable: Swenja Surminski at 'Preparing for Stormy Weather - identifying and managing climate risks', part of the BusinessGreen.com Sustainable Business Lecture Series, LSE, London, 16 March.
All Models Are Wrong But Some Are Dangerous: philosophical aspects of statistical model selection: Leonard Smith at the 'All Models are Wrong' workshop in Groningen, 14-16 March.
Towards Decision Relevant Hurricane Risk Scenarios: Falk Niehoerster at the Risk Prevention Initiative (RPI) of the Bermuda Institute of Ocean Science (BIOS), 1 March.
Ambiguity and Climate Policy: Simon Dietz presented work based on his paper with Anthony Millner and Geoffrey Heal to the Scottish Government in March.
The Role of Climate Change in Urban Flood Risk Management Today: Nicola Ranger at the World Bank Experts Roundtable on Urban Flood Risk Management, hosted by the East Asia Disaster Risk Management team, March.
Small-Number Statistics, Common Sense and Profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting: Alex Jarman, the Grantham Research Institute PhD Seminar Series, 30 March.
The Implications of Climate Model Uncertainty for Insurance and Adaptation Decision Making: Swenja Surminski at the Law and Economics of Natural Hazards Management in a Changing Climate seminar, Innsbruck, Austria, 24-25 February.
Contrasting Weather Prediction, Climate Projection and Scientific Insight: can technical aspects of Data Assimilation tell us about the Decision Relevance of Models?: Leonard Smith, Grantham Institute, Imperial College London, 23 February.
Adaptation to Climate Extremes: investigating the role of the private sector - the case of the insurance industry: Swenja Surminski at the 'Economics of Natural Disasters - bridging disaster risk reduction and climate adaptation efforts and strategies' workshop, Venice, Italy, 10-11 February.
Cat Risk Management: an academic perspective: Swenja Surminski illustrated the Munich Re research programme, with its different applications, at the conference, 'Cat Risk Management Modelling: measuring, managing and mitigating cat risk', London, UK, 3-4 February.
Small-Number Statistics, Common Sense and Profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting: Alex Jarman presented a poster at the EQUIP conference, 'Equipping Society for Climate Change through Improved Treatments of Uncertainty, Leeds, UK, 19-21 January.