Empirical evidence of climate change impacts on extremes and model relevance

Project 5c

LSE Lead: Professor Leonard Smith and Professor Eric Neumayer

Research Officer: Fabian Barthel

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To improve our ability to project future increases in extreme events and their associated losses, it is crucial to understand the effects on climate change and other drivers on losses today, and the ability of models to represent these trends.

This project conducts comparative analyses of trends from the Munich Re NatCatSERVICE database and from Earth System Models.

Information extracted and techniques developed in this project will support the creation of more informative projections of the level of increase expected in future losses driven by global warming.