Ana Lopez
Research Officer
Ana's expertise lies in probabilistic climate change projections and their use in the quantification of future impacts and adaptation to climate change.
She is based at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment|, where she is a Research Officer, and at the Centre for the Analysis of Time Series (CATS)|, both at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).
Background
Ana's research focuses on understanding current and future climate risks, and evaluating their plausible changes under a non-stationary climate, with the objective of providing robust and relevant information for adaptation decision making.
Ana's background is in theoretical physics. Her PhD and posterior research experience was based on the study of fundamental properties of different complex highly interactive systems currently relevant for nanotechnologies and quantum computation.
More recently, and before moving to LSE, Ana was based at Oxford University as a Tyndall Research Fellow. Her research focused on exploring the use of large ensembles of climate models to quantify the impacts of climate change on water resources and ecosystems, identifying major difficulties and potentialities to inform adaptation decision making.
Research interests
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Evaluation of changes in climate risks under non-stationary externally forced climate;
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Climate model validation and evaluation;
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Predictability measures and limits to predictability;
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Temporal and spatial limits for impacts relevant climate model information;
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Vulnerability approaches to mitigation and adaptation to climate change;
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Interplay between climate science and decision making under deep uncertainty;
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Climate change impacts and vulnerability of water resources and food production systems.
Policy articles
2011
Jha, A., Lamond, J., Bloch, R., Bhattacharya, N., Lopez, A., Papachristodoulou, N., Bird, A., Proverbs, D., Davies, J., and Barker, R. May 2011. Five feet high and rising cities and flooding in the 21st Century. World Bank Policy Research Paper 5648. External link to PDF of document| (2.12MB)
2010
Ranger, N., Millner, A., Dietz, S., Fankhauser, S., Lopez, A., and Ruta, G. September 2010. Adaptation in the UK: a decision-making process. Policy brief, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK. Download PDF of brief| and technical annexes|
2009
Lopez, A., Fung, F., New, M., Watts, G., Weston, A., Wilby, R. August 2009. From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts: a case study of water resource management in the South West of England. Water Resources Resarch, v.45. External link to full article|
Fung, F., Lopez, A., and New, M. April 2009. Applying probabilistic climate change information to strategic resource assessment. Science Report – SC050045/SR, Environment Agency of England and Wales. External link to PDF of report| (3.94MB)
Research articles
2011
Fung, F., Lopez, A., and New, M. January 2011. Water availability in +2ºC and +4ºC worlds. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, v.369 (1934), pp.99-116. External link to full article|
2010
Lopez, A. November 2010. A case study of water resource management in south west England. Modelling the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources [Fung, F., Lopez, A., and New, M. (eds.)]. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford.
Lopez, A., Wilby, R., Fung, F., and New, M. November 2010. Emerging approaches to climate risk management. Modelling the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources [Fung, F., Lopez, A., and New, M. (eds.)]. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford.
2007
New, M., Lopez, A., Dessai, S., and Wilby, R. August 2007. Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, v.365, pp.2117-2131. External link to full article|
Stainforth, D.A., Downing, T.E., Washington, R., Lopez, A., and New, M. August 2007. Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, v.365, pp.2163-2177. External link to full article|
2006
Lopez, A., Tebaldi, C., New, M., Stainforth, D., Allen, M., and Kettleborough, J. October 2006. Two approaches to quantifying uncertainty in climate change. Journal of Climate, v.19, pp.4785-4796.