Publications

Seasonal temperature variability and economic cycles

Working paper by Manuel Linsenmeier on 17 Dec 2021

In this paper, the author assembles a new set of quarterly and six-monthly temperature and GDP data for 98 countries and develops a new estimation strategy to attribute observed fluctuations in GDP to changes in temperature.


Evidence on business cycles and CO2 emissions

Research article by Baran Doda on 28 Jun 2014

CO2 emissions and GDP move together over the business cycle. Most climate change researchers would agree with this statement despite the absence of a study that formally analyzes the relationship between emissions and GDP at business cycle frequencies. The paper provides a rigorous empirical analysis of this relationship in a comprehensive cross-country panel by decomposing the emissions and GDP series into their growth and cyclical components using the HP filter. read more »