Working paper by Frank Venmans on 3 Nov 2022
This paper develops a method to estimate the ‘probability distribution’ of future temperatures to be used in long-term climate change adaptation strategies, investing and insurance.
Research article by Swenja Surminski, Jon Barnes, Katharine Vincent on 22 Feb 2022
This paper explores how climate risk information produced in the context of insurance-related activities can support public climate adaptation planning. The central contribution is to outline how relevant climate risk information can translate into behaviour change, and the drivers and barriers that influence this in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Working paper by Architesh Panda, Swenja Surminski on 7 Sep 2020
How to effectively monitor and evaluate the use of climate and disaster risk insurance remains unclear. This paper reviews how these instruments are currently evaluated and finds a need for transparent monitoring and evaluation frameworks to enable greater scrutiny and to assist those funding, demanding or supplying insurance, with evidence from India and Africa.
Policy publication by Paola Sakai on 16 Jun 2020
This new study from the UK flood affected areas looks at the economic costs of flooding on SMEs and proposes ways to increase their flood protection.
Working paper by Architesh Panda, Peter Lambert, Swenja Surminski on 8 Apr 2020
Analysing household data from 16 developing countries across Asia and Africa, this paper examines the landscape of access to and sources of financial services. The results shed new light on how insurance uptake could be increased through more tailored and targeted products and services that are designed to meet local needs and requirements in the face of climate and other shocks. read more »
Policy publication by Swenja Surminski, Viktor Rözer, Sara Mehryar, Rebecca Byrnes on 9 Oct 2019
This paper summarises the Institute’s submission to the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs’ call for evidence on policy direction to prepare the UK for flooding and coastal erosion, drawing on a decade of work by the Grantham Research Institute with the insurance industry and policymakers addressing issues around climate change and adaptation. read more »
Working paper by Swenja Surminski, Jon Barnes, Katharine Vincent on 8 Oct 2019
This paper from the UMFULA programme investigates the potential catalyst role of insurance in adaptation to climate change in a developing country context that is characterised by low insurance penetration and a relatively low level of government planning, analysing the problem from the perspective of insurers in South Africa, Malawi and Tanzania. read more »
Policy publication by Swenja Surminski, Architesh Panda on 1 Oct 2019
This working paper analyzes the status, types, and evolution of market-based disaster insurance schemes across developing Asia. Well-designed insurance schemes can play an important role in increasing resilience to climate … read more »
Working paper by Simon Dietz, Falk Niehörster on 23 May 2019
The authors of this paper apply a newly developed insurance pricing model to two catastrophe model data sets relating to hurricane risk in two locations in the Atlantic basin, estimating ambiguity loads – the extra insurance premium due to ambiguity – and showing how these depend on the insurer’s attitude to ambiguity. read more »
Working paper by Oliver Bettis, Simon Dietz, Nick Silver on 17 Nov 2015
How large a risk is society prepared to run with the climate system? One perspective on this is to compare the risk that the world is running with the climate … read more »
