Publications


Trust, temperature fluctuations, and asylum applications

Working paper by Stefano Carattini, Marcella Veronesi on 24 Aug 2020

This paper studies the relationship between generalised trust in other members in society, temperature fluctuations during the maize growing season, and international migration by asylum seekers, asking whether trust mitigates or increases the impact of climate change on migration.


Creating useful and usable weather and climate information – insights from Participatory Scenario Planning in Malawi

Working paper by Dorothy Tembo-Nhlema, Katharine Vincent, Rebecka Henriksson Malinga on 9 Sep 2019

This paper outlines experiences with Participatory Scenario Planning (PSP), which has been used in Malawi as a method to bring together producers and users of weather and climate information to co-produce sector-specific advisories of weather information to make it both useful and usable to the different user groups, including farmers. read more »


From individual fuzzy cognitive maps to agent based models: modelling multi-factorial and multi-stakeholder decision-making for water scarcity

Working paper by Sara Mehryar, Richard Sliuzas, Nina Schwarz, Ali Sharifi, Martin van Maarseveen on 29 Aug 2019

The authors of this paper develop an integrated modelling methodology combining an Agent-Based Model with Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping and use it to simulate impacts of policy options addressing the problems of water scarcity for a farming community in Rafsanjan, Iran. read more »