Publications

Recommendations for improving the treatment of risk and uncertainty in economic estimates of climate impacts in the Sixth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Report

Research article by Thomas Stoerk, Gernot Wagner, Bob Ward on 1 Aug 2018

Large discrepancies persist between projections of the physical impacts of climate change and economic damage estimates. These discrepancies increase with increasing global average temperature projections. Based on this observation, … read more »

Do natural disasters change savings and employment choices? Evidence from Pakistan

Working paper by Shaikh Eskander, Sam Fankhauser, Shikha Jha, Samavia Batool, Ayesha Qaisrani on 12 Feb 2018

This research investigates the economic response of rural households in Pakistan to natural disasters, particularly the extent to which they adjust their savings and income strategies in response to floods. read more »

Recent and future changes in the global and UK climate

Policy publication by Bob Ward, Naomi Hicks on 1 Oct 2013

The Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the most comprehensive assessment of the physical science basis of climate change that has ever been written. … read more »

The IPCC report-writing process

Policy publication by Naomi Hicks, Bob Ward on 23 Sep 2013

This briefing note summarises the report-writing process for the IPCC assessment reports, ahead of the launch of the IPCC’s fifth assessment report (AR5), which is released at the … read more »

Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions

Research article by David Stainforth on 21 Sep 2013

Climate change poses challenges for decision makers across society, not just in preparing for the climate of the future but even when planning for the climate of the present … read more »

On predicting climate under climate change

Research article by David Stainforth on 21 Aug 2013

Can today’s global climate model ensembles characterize the 21st century climate in their own ‘model-worlds’? This question is at the heart of how we design and interpret climate model … read more »

On estimating local long-term climate trends

Research article by David Stainforth on 21 May 2013

Climate sensitivity is commonly taken to refer to the equilibrium change in the annual mean global surface temperature following a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. Evaluating this … read more »