David Stainforth
Background
David is a physicist by training and has many years’ experience of climate modelling.
While a researcher at Oxford University, he co-founded and was chief scientist of the climateprediction.net project, the world’s largest climate modelling experiment.
David has been both a NERC Research Fellow and a Tyndall Research Fellow at Oxford University.
Research interests
- How we can extract robust and useful information about future climate, and climate related phenomena, from modelling experiments;
- Issues of how to design climate modelling experiments and how to link climate science to real-world decision making in such a way as to be of value to industry, policymakers and wider society.
Research articles
- Assessing the quality of state-of-the-art regional climate information: the case of the UK Climate Projections 2018
6 Sep 2021. Marina Baldissera Pacchetti, Suraje Dessai, David Stainforth - Assessing the Quality of Regional Climate Information
9 Mar 2021. Marina Baldissera Pacchetti, Suraje Dessai, Seamus Bradley, David Stainforth - Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation
26 Jun 2018. Suraje Dessai, Ajay Gajanan Bhave, Cathryn Birch, Declan Conway, Luis Garcia-Carreras, John Paul Gosling, Neha Mittal, David Stainforth - Water Resource Planning Under Future Climate and Socio-Economic Uncertainty in the Cauvery River Basin in Karnataka, India
18 Jan 2018. Ajay Gajanan Bhave, Suraje Dessai, Declan Conway, David Stainforth - On the physics of three integrated assessment models
3 Nov 2016. David Stainforth, Raphael Calel - Barriers and opportunities for robust decision making approaches to support climate change adaptation in the developing world
29 Sep 2016. Ajay Gajanan Bhave, Declan Conway, Suraje Dessai, David Stainforth - Limits to the quantification of local climate change
16 Sep 2015. David Stainforth - An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09
7 May 2015. Roman Frigg, Lenny Smith, David Stainforth - Climate projection: Testing climate assumptions
9 Mar 2014. David Stainforth - Assessing pricing assumptions for weather index insurance in a changing climate
11 Feb 2014. David Stainforth - The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09
1 Dec 2013. David Stainforth - Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming
21 Sep 2013. David Stainforth, Simon Dietz - Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions
21 Sep 2013. David Stainforth - On predicting climate under climate change
21 Aug 2013. David Stainforth - On estimating local long-term climate trends
21 May 2013. David Stainforth - Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists’ uncertainty about climate change?
20 Jan 2013. Antony Millner, David Stainforth
Working papers
- Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation
12 Jan 2018 - Probabilistic regional and seasonal predictions of twenty-first century temperature and precipitation
1 Aug 2010
Policy publications
- Guest post: How to assess regional climate information for adaptation planning (on www.carbonbrief.org)
21 Sep 2021 - Video abstract on mapping climate change
11 Sep 2013 - Video abstract of new paper on mapping climate change
11 Sep 2013 - Video abstract of new paper explores issues in the design and interpretation of climate model ensembles
30 Aug 2013 - Presentation at EQUIP workshop on uncertainty in weather, climate and impacts
15 Mar 2013 - Questions and answers with Dr David Stainforth
1 Jul 2011 - ‘Confidence from uncertainty’ – new exhibit at the Royal Society on interpreting climate predictions
28 Jun 2011 - Climate science in the spotlight may not be such a bad thing
12 Feb 2010