Publications



Recommendations for improving the treatment of risk and uncertainty in economic estimates of climate impacts in the Sixth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Report

Research article by Thomas Stoerk, Gernot Wagner, Bob Ward on 1 Aug 2018

Large discrepancies persist between projections of the physical impacts of climate change and economic damage estimates. These discrepancies increase with increasing global average temperature projections. Based on this observation, … read more »



Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation

Research article by Suraje Dessai, Ajay Gajanan Bhave, Cathryn Birch, Declan Conway, Luis Garcia-Carreras, John Paul Gosling, Neha Mittal, David Stainforth on 26 Jun 2018

Knowledge about regional and local climate change can inform climate risk assessments and adaptation decisions. However, estimates of future precipitation change at the regional and local level are deeply uncertain for many parts of the world. A novel methodology was developed that uses climate processes and expert elicitation to build narratives of future regional precipitation […]


Adaptation opportunities and maladaptive outcomes in climate vulnerability hotspots of northern Ghana

Research article by Philip Antwi-Agyei, Andy Dougill, Lindsay Stringer, Samuel Nii Ardey Codjoe on 18 Mar 2018

How climate change adaptation practices can constrain development and deliver maladaptive outcomes in vulnerability hotspots is yet to be explored in-depth using case study analyses. This paper explores the effects of climate change coping and adaptation responses in three case study villages across the Central Gonja district of northern Ghana. The study addresses the following […]


Producer Cities and Consumer Cities: Using Production- and Consumption-Based Carbon Accounts to Guide Climate Action in China, the UK, and the US

Research article by Andrew Sudmant, Joel Millward-Hopkins, Andy Gouldson, John Barrett, Kate Scott on 1 Mar 2018

Meeting the commitments made in the Paris Agreement on climate change will require different approaches in different countries. However, a common feature in many contexts relates to the continued and sometimes increasing significance of the carbon footprints of urban centres. These footprints consider both production or territorial (i.e. Scope 1 and 2) emissions, and consumption […]


How do sectoral policies support climate compatible development? An empirical analysis focusing on southern Africa

Research article by Stavros Afionis, Matthew England, Lindsay Stringer, Andy Dougill on 23 Jan 2018

Promoting inclusive and sustainable economic and social development whilst simultaneously adapting to climate change impacts and mitigating greenhouse gas emissions – Climate Compatible Development (CCD) – requires coherent policy approaches that span multiple sectors. This paper develops and applies a qualitative content analysis to assess national sector policies of ten southern African countries to determine […]



Socially Just Triple-Wins? A Framework for Evaluating the Social Justice Implications of Climate Compatible Development

Research article by Ben Wood, Lindsay Stringer, Andy Dougill, Claire Quinn on 18 Jan 2018

Climate compatible development (CCD) aims to help people improve their lives in the face of climate threats without exacerbating these threats for current and future generations. It is proving an attractive concept to both academics and practitioners. However, the social justice implications of CCD have not yet been comprehensively explored and an absence of adequate […]