Climate projection: Testing climate assumptions
Research article by David Stainforth on 9 Mar 2014
Stainforth, D. A. In: Nature Climate Change (9th March 2014).
Research article by David Stainforth on 9 Mar 2014
Stainforth, D. A. In: Nature Climate Change (9th March 2014).
Research article by on 1 Mar 2014
Porter, J. & Randalls, S. (Online First) , Special Issue, Geoforum.
Research article by David Stainforth on 11 Feb 2014
We expose the benefits and limitations of the Bayesian Network approach, weather index insurance as an adaptation measure and climate simulations as a source of quantitative predictive information. Current climate model output is shown to be of limited value and difficult to use by index insurance practitioners. The method presented, however, is shown to be an effective tool for testing pricing assumptions and could feasibly be employed in the future to incorporate multiple sources of climate data. read more »
Working paper by Lenny Smith, Emma Suckling, Falk Niehörster on 1 Feb 2014
Operational seasonal forecasting centres employ simulation models to make probability forecasts of future conditions on seasonal to annual lead times. Skill in such forecasts is reflected … read more »
Working paper by Lenny Smith, Emma Suckling on 1 Feb 2014
While state-of-the-art models of the Earth’s climate system have improved tremendously over the last twenty years, nontrivial structural flaws still hinder their ability to forecast the … read more »
Research article by Andrew David Thomas, Andy Dougill, David R Elliott, Helen Mairs on 24 Jan 2014
Andrew David Thomas, Andrew J Dougill, David R Elliott, Helen Mairs (2014) Geoderma. 219-220, pp72-81.
Research article by Swenja Surminski on 23 Jan 2014
The last two decades have witnessed an explosion in the publication of country indexes that measure and rank the relative national policy performances of governments. To illustrate the challenges … read more »
Research article by Antony Millner on 1 Jan 2014
Review of Environmental Economics and Policy. Uncertainty is intrinsic to climate change: we know that the climate is changing but not precisely how fast or in what ways. read more »
Working paper by Swenja Surminski, Jillian Eldridge on 1 Jan 2014
Flooding is the largest natural disaster risk in England and it is expected to rise even further as we experience a changing climate and continue putting … read more »
Research article by David Stainforth on 1 Dec 2013
Frigg, R., L.A. Smith, D. A. Stainforth. In: Philosophy of Science, December 2013.