Unawareness with ‘possible’ possible worlds

Working paper by Oliver Walker on 1 Dec 2011

Logical structures for modelling agents’ reasoning about unawareness are presented where it can hold simultaneously that: agents’ beliefs about whether they are fully aware need not … read more »

Coordination under threshold uncertainty in a public goods game

Working paper by Alessandro Tavoni, Astrid Dannenberg, Andreas Löschel, Gabriele Paolacci, Christiane Reif on 1 Nov 2011

We explored experimentally how threshold uncertainty affects coordination success in a threshold public goods game. Whereas all groups succeeded in providing the public good when the … read more »

African farmers’ perceptions of erratic rainfall

Working paper by Elisabeth Simelton, Claire Quinn, Nnyaladzi Batisani, Andy Dougill, Evan Fraser, David Mkwambisi, Steffan Rosell, Susannah Mary Sallu, Philip Antwi-Agyei on 1 Oct 2011

Abstract of Working Paper 73 Farmers’ perceptions of how rainfall is changing is crucial in anticipating the effects of climate change, as only farmers who perceive a problem will adapt to it. However, even within the same location, people may perceive rainfall changes differently. Therefore, how can scientists, practitioners, and farmers ensure that they talk […]

Adaptation to climate change and economic growth in developing countries

Working paper by Antony Millner, Simon Dietz on 1 Sep 2011

The global climate is changing, and will continue to do so even if greenhouse gas emissions are dramatically curbed. Economies are therefore faced with the challenge of adapting to climate change. This challenge is particularly important in developing countries, which, due to a combination of unfortunate geography and high sensitivity, are most vulnerable to climate […]

Resilient or vulnerable livelihoods? Assessing livelihood dynamics and trajectories in rural Botswana

Working paper by Susannah Mary Sallu, Dr Chasca Twyman, Lindsay Stringer on 1 Sep 2011

Abstract of Working Paper 33 We explore the resilience and vulnerability of livelihoods within two different socio-ecological dryland contexts of Botswana over the last 30 years. We draw on primary field data sources, including oral histories, livelihood surveys, ecological surveys, as well as documented evidence of environmental, socioeconomic and institutional dynamics, to identify a broad […]