From individual fuzzy cognitive maps to agent based models: modelling multi-factorial and multi-stakeholder decision-making for water scarcity

Working paper by Sara Mehryar, Richard Sliuzas, Nina Schwarz, Ali Sharifi, Martin van Maarseveen on 29 Aug 2019

The authors of this paper develop an integrated modelling methodology combining an Agent-Based Model with Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping and use it to simulate impacts of policy options addressing the problems of water scarcity for a farming community in Rafsanjan, Iran. read more »

Creating an enabling environment for investment in climate services: The case of Uruguay’s National Agricultural Information System

Research article by Catherine Vaughan, Suraje Dessai on 18 Nov 2017

Increasingly challenged by climate variability and change, many of the world’s governments have turned to climate services as a means to improve decision making and mitigate climate-related risk. While there have been some efforts to evaluate the economic impact of climate services, little is known about the contexts in which investments in climate services have […]

Was von Thünen right? Cattle intensification and deforestation in Brazil

Working paper by Francisco Pereira Fontes, Charles Palmer on 27 Jan 2017

This paper examines whether patterns of cattle intensification, deforestation, and pasture expansion in the Brazilian state of Rondonia are consistent with the land rent framework, in which location and distance to markets are key determinants of rents. A panel dataset of household lots, collected between 1996 and 2009, is used to test the hypothesis that […]

Using a novel climate–water conflict vulnerability index to capture double exposures in Lake Chad

Research article by Lindsay Stringer, Andy Dougill, Uche Okpara on 6 Jul 2016

Climate variability is amongst an array of threats facing agricultural livelihoods, with its effects unevenly distributed. With resource conflict being increasingly recognised as one significant outcome of climate variability and change, understanding the underlying drivers that shape differential vulnerabilities in areas that are double-exposed to climate and conflict has great significance. Climate change vulnerability frameworks […]

Perceived stressors of climate vulnerability across scales in the Savannah zone of Ghana: A participatory approach

Research article by Andy Dougill, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Claire Quinn, Samuel Nii Ardey Codjoe, Richard Lamboll, Delali Benjamin Komla Dovie, Samuel Godfried Kwasi Adiku on 16 Jun 2016

Smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa are confronted with climatic and non-climatic stressors. Research attention has focused on climatic stressors, such as rainfall variability, with few empirical studies exploring non-climatic stressors and how these interact with climatic stressors at multiple scales to affect food security and livelihoods. This focus on climatic factors restricts understanding of the […]

Challenges to polycentric governance of an international development project tackling land degradation in Swaziland

Research article by Lindsay Stringer on 6 Jun 2016

Abstract To effectively address the drivers and impacts of land degradation requires polycentric governance systems that facilitate international development projects (IDPs). This paper analyses an IDP aiming to reduce land degradation in Swaziland. A longitudinal-style qualitative approach draws on repeat household surveys, semi-structured interviews and focus groups. We aim to identify the changes that have […]