Working paper by Frank Venmans on 3 Nov 2022
This paper develops a method to estimate the ‘probability distribution’ of future temperatures to be used in long-term climate change adaptation strategies, investing and insurance.
Research article by Sara Mehryar on 7 Jul 2022
The authors of this paper offer a critical review and an assessment of approaches to climate and disaster resilience measurement with a particular focus on three issues: (1) the consideration of compounding socioeconomic and climatic risks in approaches to resilience measurement; (2) the methodological and technical aspects of resilience measurement; and (3) the application and practicability of resilience measurement across various contexts to reliably inform decision-making processes.
Research article by Kate Elizabeth Gannon, Elena Castellano, Shaikh Eskander, Mamadou Diop, Declan Conway, Elizabeth Sprout on 15 Jun 2022
The authors of this paper conduct a systematic review to synthesize existing knowledge on differential vulnerability of female entrepreneurs in Africa to climate risk, in relation to their sensitivity to extreme climate events and their adaptive capacity.
Research article by Sara Mehryar, Swenja Surminski on 11 May 2022
The authors of this paper investigate how methods used to model perceptions and measure resilience can help decision-makers create inclusive and proactive flood resilience strategies for communities.
Research article by Candice Howarth on 28 Apr 2022
Through a high-level analysis of authors of the IPCC’s Working Group II reports and special reports of AR6, the authors of this paper explore the evolution of representation of practitioners in IPCC WGII author teams from AR5 to AR6.
Policy publication by Hans Peter Lankes, Eleonore Soubeyran, Nicholas Stern on 14 Apr 2022
In this policy insight, the authors explain how rising to the climate and poverty challenges in tandem can generate great gains for people and the environment across continents and create new paths for sustainable development and poverty reduction – while delayed action on climate change will entrench poverty around the world.
Research article by Christian Siderius, Declan Conway on 28 Feb 2022
Using modelling and limited observational data the authors of this paper explore the costs and potential water savings of 24 combinations of water conservation measures in the Rufiji basin, Tanzania.
Research article by Ajay Gajanan Bhave, Declan Conway, Suraje Dessai, David Mkwambisi, Andrew Dougill on 28 Feb 2022
Malawi depends on Lake Malawi outflows into the Shire River for its water, energy and food (WEF) security. The authors of this paper explore future WEF security risks under the combined impacts of climate change and ambitious development pathways for water use expansion.
Research article by Swenja Surminski, Jon Barnes, Katharine Vincent on 22 Feb 2022
This paper explores how climate risk information produced in the context of insurance-related activities can support public climate adaptation planning. The central contribution is to outline how relevant climate risk information can translate into behaviour change, and the drivers and barriers that influence this in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Policy publication by Timo Leiter on 10 Feb 2022
Contributors to this paper discuss the implications of the post-Glasgow climate ‘pact’ for the continued relevance of evaluation.
