Publications

The social and scientific values that shape national climate scenarios: a comparison of the Netherlands, Switzerland and the UK

Research article by Suraje Dessai on 26 Apr 2017

This paper seeks to understand why climate information is produced differently from country to country. To do this, we critically examined and compared the social and scientific values that shaped the production of three national climate scenarios in the Netherlands, Switzerland and the UK. A comparative analysis of documentary materials and expert interviews linked to […]

Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: insights from an agent-based model

Research article by Swenja Surminski, Florence Crick on 28 Mar 2017

Jenkins, K., Surminski, S., Hall, J. and Crick, F. (2017) Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: insights from an agent-based model. Science of the … read more »

The use of evidence by the Cabinet Office: submitted to the ‘My Science Inquiry’ by the House of Commons Select Committee on Science and Technology

Policy publication by Bob Ward on 28 Feb 2017

These are the annotated notes to accompany an oral presentation on 1 February 2017 to the House of Commons Select Committee on Science and Technology.

Valuing predictability

Working paper by Antony Millner, Daniel Heyen on 24 Jan 2017

How important is it to be able to predict the distant future? The authors of this paper study this question in a model of an agent who operates in a … read more »

Global population growth, technology and Malthusian constraints: a quantitative growth theoretic perspective

Research article by Bruno Lanz, Simon Dietz, Tim Swanson on 2 Dec 2016

Lanz, Bruno, Dietz, Simon and Swanson, Tim (2016) Global population growth, technology and Malthusian constraints: a quantitative growth theoretic perspective. International Economic Review . ISSN 0020-6598 (In Press)

Science for Loss and Damage: Four research contributions to the debate

Policy publication by Swenja Surminski on 7 Nov 2016

The Loss and Damage Network is a network of scientists and practitioners informing the loss and damage debate and includes members from about 20 institutions. This summary paper, written on … read more »

On the physics of three integrated assessment models

Research article by David Stainforth, Raphael Calel on 3 Nov 2016

Calel, Raphael and Stainforth, David A. On the physics of three integrated assessment models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society . ISSN 0003-0007 (In Press)

The risk of climate ruin

Research article by Oliver Bettis, Simon Dietz, Nick Silver on 21 Oct 2016

Oliver D. Bettis, Simon Dietz, and Nick G. Silver. 2006. Climatic Change DOI 10.1007/s10584-016-1846-3.

Model confirmation in climate economics

Research article by Antony Millner, Tom McDermott on 26 Jul 2016

Paper demonstrates the potential benefits of model confirmation exercises for policy applications, demonstrating that the economic growth model used by a prominent BC-IAM had little predictive power over the 20th century. read more »

Strengthening insurance partnerships in the face of climate change – insights from an agent-based model of flood insurance in the UK

Working paper by Florence Crick, Katie Jenkins, Swenja Surminski on 9 Jun 2016

Multisectoral partnerships are increasingly being mentioned as a mechanism to deliver and improve disaster risk management. Yet, partnerships are not a panacea and more research is required to understand the … read more »