Publications

Trust and CO2 emissions: Cooperation on a global scale

Working paper by Stefano Carattini, Ara Jo on 27 Mar 2018

This paper finds that the culture of cooperation sustained by trust within a country positively affects international cooperative behaviour, showing that an increase in trust between citizens results in larger cuts in carbon dioxide emissions. read more »






Understanding interpersonal violence: the impact of temperatures in Mexico

Working paper by François Cohen, Fidel Gonzalez on 19 Jan 2018

This research investigates how and why high temperature has an effect on criminality, using data from Mexico. It suggests that the additional crimes committed on hot days are due to changes in time use and habits by both criminals and their victims during times of high temperature. read more »


To build or not to build? Capital stocks and climate policy

Working paper by Elizabeth Baldwin, Yongyang Cai, Karlygash Kuralbayeva on 19 Jan 2018

To achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement, the use of fossil fuels must peak and then rapidly decline. This research investigates the impact of climate change policy on capital invested in fossil fuel power plants, especially coal – so-called ‘dirty’ assets. read more »




Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation

Working paper by Suraje Dessai, Ajay Gajanan Bhave, Cathryn Birch, Declan Conway, Luis Garcia-Carreras, John Paul Gosling, Neha Mittal, David Stainforth on 12 Jan 2018

The study shows that through expert elicitation, process-based narratives enable climate scientists to characterise deep uncertainty in future rainfall change. The method is applied to the Indian Summer Monsoon, focusing on the Cauvery river basin in Karnataka, Southern India.