Publications


Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation

Research article by Suraje Dessai, Ajay Gajanan Bhave, Cathryn Birch, Declan Conway, Luis Garcia-Carreras, John Paul Gosling, Neha Mittal, David Stainforth on 26 Jun 2018

Knowledge about regional and local climate change can inform climate risk assessments and adaptation decisions. However, estimates of future precipitation change at the regional and local level are deeply uncertain for many parts of the world. A novel methodology was developed that uses climate processes and expert elicitation to build narratives of future regional precipitation […]



Trust, compliance and international regulation

Working paper by Ara Jo on 12 Jun 2018

This paper uses data on the compliance of installations regulated under the EU Emissions Trading Scheme to investigate how the levels of trust in a country affect the compliance of firms with regulations on climate change. read more »